Pakistan’s qualification scenario for the ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 is an uphill battle, but it’s not impossible. Here’s what needs to happen for Babar Azam’s side to make the semis.
Pakistan’s ICC WC 2023 Qualification Scenario:
Pakistan’s qualification scenario for the ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 is an uphill battle, but it’s not impossible. Here’s what needs to happen for Babar Azam’s side to make the semis:
1. Win their final match against England:
This is the most basic requirement for Pakistan to qualify. They need to defeat England in their final round-robin match on November 11th in Kolkata.
2. Improve their Net Run Rate (NRR):
Pakistan’s NRR is currently +0.036, which is lower than New Zealand’s +0.743 NRR. In order to finish above New Zealand in the points table, Pakistan need to improve their NRR significantly.
How much do they need to improve their NRR by?
If Pakistan bat first and score 300 runs, they need to restrict England to 13 runs. If they score more than 300 runs, they need to maintain a margin of 287 runs.
If Pakistan bowl first and chase the target, they need to do it with 284 deliveries to spare.
Is it possible for Pakistan to improve their NRR so significantly?
It’s a very difficult task, but it’s not impossible. Pakistan have a very strong batting lineup, and they have the potential to score big totals. They also have a good bowling attack, but they will need to be very disciplined and consistent in order to restrict England to a low score.
What is the most likely way for Pakistan to qualify?
The most likely way for Pakistan to qualify is to bat first and score a big total against England. They will then need to bowl England out very cheaply.
If they are unable to do that, then they will need to chase the target with a lot of balls to spare. This is a more difficult option, as it will require them to be very aggressive in their batting.
What is the least likely way for Pakistan to qualify?
The least likely way for Pakistan to qualify is to lose their final match against England. This would eliminate them from the tournament regardless of their NRR.
Conclusion:
Pakistan’s qualification scenario for the ICC WC 2023 semifinals is very difficult, but it’s not impossible. They need to win their final match against England and improve their NRR significantly. The most likely way for them to do this is to bat first and score a big total against England. If they are unable to do that, then they will need to chase the target with a lot of balls to spare.
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